2023 IFPA North American Women’s Championship Series Predictions

These predictions are provided purely for entertainment, and should not be used for gambling, decision making, or anything of consequence. Please let me know if you notice any errors or irregularities.

Huge thanks to Tommy Vernieri for compiling the player lists and determining the seeds. This is a manual process, so if there are any errors, please let me know and we’ll get them fixed. Note: states with fewer than 16 players are not included in this analysis. Also, states where Tommy could not find the bracket are not included. If you would like for your state to be included, please send @tommyv a message on the IFPA discord.

How these predictions are made

Overall

2023 IFPA WNACS Favorites
Chances of winning state finals
state	Player (Seed)	MP Rating	WIN CHANCE
Alabama	Deanna Gerard (14) Minneapolis, MN	1618 ± 69	34%
Alberta	Micaela Wolf (1) Calgary, AB	1658 ± 63	36%
Arizona	Hailey Buhrman (14) Chandler, AZ	1691 ± 71	29%
Arkansas	Allie Lawson (2) Fayetteville, AR	1675 ± 69	47%
California	Leslie Ruckman (1) Parts Unknown, CA	1736 ± 53	36%
Colorado	Jennifer Peavler (13) Denver, CO	1675 ± 188	30%
Connecticut	Holly Danowski (2) Meriden, CT	1633 ± 63	40%
Delaware	Stephanie Traub (1) Washington, DC	1660 ± 43	49%
Florida	Gwen Octavia (7) Parts Unknown, Earth	1730 ± 61	51%
Georgia	Cat McFarland (6) Parts Unknown, Earth	1532 ± 73	24%
Idaho	Rebecca Drake (13) Boise, ID	1535 ± 106	24%
Illinois	Jane Verwys (1) Chicago, IL	1723 ± 57	43%
Indiana	Sydnee Deventer (2) Fort Wayne, IN	1615 ± 51	23%
Kansas	Keri Wing (1) Overland Park, KS	1743 ± 47	83%
Manitoba	Jill Hisco (1) Winnipeg, MB	1689 ± 94	34%
Maryland	Lumi Legato (2) Hagerstown, MD	1648 ± 51	33%
Massachusetts	Zoe Vrabel (1) Boston, MA	1690 ± 49	66%
Michigan	Cindy Yao (12) Parts Unknown, Earth	1638 ± 67	26%
Minnesota	Whitney Lindaas (2) Minneapolis, MN	1624 ± 49	20%
Mississippi	Emma King (2) Starkville, MS	1591 ± 67	40%
Nebraska	Kara Galle (2) Omaha, NE	1606 ± 76	47%
Nevada	Caitlin Collier (3) Las Vegas, NV	1623 ± 61	42%
New Jersey	Bridget Den Boer (8) Hamilton Township, NJ	1561 ± 92	27%
New Mexico	Jacqueline Bell (9) Parts Unknown, Earth	1644 ± 118	29%
New York	Anna Wolk (5) New York, NY	1660 ± 71	41%
North Carolina	Kaylee Campbell (1) Charlotte, NC	1798 ± 61	66%
Ohio	Amy Kesting (2) Columbus, OH	1681 ± 63	31%
Ontario	Caitlyn Pascal (3) Ottawa, ON	1608 ± 94	25%
Oregon	Brianne Hunt (1) Portland, OR	1616 ± 61	28%
Pennsylvania	Tessa Morton (1) Malvern, PA	1650 ± 73	29%
Quebec	Paige Casselman (8) Ottawa, ON	1573 ± 73	42%
Rhode Island	Marina Conte (12) Providence, RI	1647 ± 139	44%
Saskatchewan	Meghan Pryor (2) Regina, SK	1540 ± 71	21%
South Carolina	Kim Martinez (2) Columbia, SC	1646 ± 61	34%
Tennessee	Emily Solomon (1) Parts Unknown, Earth	1573 ± 67	22%
Texas	Hope Love (2) San Antonio, TX	1716 ± 59	43%
Vermont	Emily May (1) Middlebury, VT	1657 ± 100	66%
Virginia	Laura Fraley (1) Richmond, VA	1616 ± 61	29%
Washington	Hannah Hatch (1) Parts Unknown, Earth	1686 ± 57	33%
West Virginia	Julia Metz (6) Beckley, WV	1582 ± 114	28%
Wisconsin	Kassidy Milanowski (1) Appleton, WI	1751 ± 57	74%

By state/province

ALABAMA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: ALABAMA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
14	Deanna Gerard Minneapolis, MN	1618 ± 69	86%	75%	53%	34%
5	Holly Hooper Huntsville, AL	1590 ± 78	93%	69%	40%	21%
1	Tatiana Pinner Parts Unknown, AL	1593 ± 67	86%	66%	39%	20%
7	Lindsey Harris Parts Unknown, Earth	1557 ± 82	95%	58%	25%	11%
2	Abby Reagan Auburn, AL	1536 ± 71	83%	39%	14%	5%
8	Emily Street Parts Unknown, Earth	1510 ± 78	92%	29%	11%	3%
4	Lisa Cox Mobile, AL	1515 ± 73	86%	28%	10%	3%
6	Jessica Young Huntsville, AL	1481 ± 76	90%	18%	6%	1%
3	Rose Gwathney Huntsville, AL	1476 ± 73	14%	7%	2%	<1%
16	Rebecca Byrd Alabaster, AL	1445 ± 78	14%	5%	<1%	<1%
12	Michelle Steed Parts Unknown, AL	1403 ± 74	7%	2%	<1%	<1%
15	Gracie Michard Parts Unknown, AL	1406 ± 171	17%	3%	<1%	<1%
13	Katelyn McCombs Birmingham, AL	1376 ± 100	14%	1%	<1%	<1%
10	Heidi Simmons Huntsville, AL	1341 ± 84	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%
11	Melissa Vaughn Parts Unknown, AL	1312 ± 74	10%	<1%	<1%	<1%
9	Lyndsey Long Opelika, AL	1324 ± 102	8%	<1%	<1%	<1%

ALBERTA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: ALBERTA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Micaela Wolf Calgary, AB	1658 ± 63	77%	61%	49%	36%
2	Brenda Yakimets Edmonton, AB	1599 ± 71	92%	64%	38%	18%
3	Andrea Brumwell Calgary, AB	1590 ± 57	77%	46%	25%	11%
4	Kate Hughson Calgary, AB	1567 ± 65	72%	44%	16%	7%
9	Amanda Anderson Edmonton, AB	1572 ± 88	66%	21%	12%	6%
11	Karoline Sandhurst Calgary, AB	1569 ± 69	56%	28%	14%	5%
5	Nancy Barnes Calgary, AB	1537 ± 59	54%	26%	7%	3%
6	Shawna Teale Calgary, AB	1550 ± 78	44%	19%	8%	3%
16	Isabel Teale Calgary, AB	1561 ± 118	23%	12%	7%	3%
7	Colleen Tanner Calgary, AB	1538 ± 74	52%	18%	7%	2%
10	Ashley Cox Edmonton, AB	1532 ± 84	48%	17%	6%	2%
12	Marci Simkulet Calgary, AB	1523 ± 63	46%	20%	5%	2%
8	Krista Goshko Parts Unknown, AB	1518 ± 69	34%	6%	2%	<1%
13	Lonni Melvyn Edmonton, AB	1492 ± 90	28%	10%	2%	<1%
14	Theresa Hurst Edmonton, AB	1493 ± 88	23%	7%	2%	<1%
15	Gabrielle Richards Edmonton, AB	1416 ± 102	8%	1%	<1%	<1%

ARIZONA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: ARIZONA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
14	Hailey Buhrman Chandler, AZ	1691 ± 71	64%	55%	42%	29%
1	Tracy Lindbergh Chandler, AZ	1668 ± 55	71%	55%	38%	21%
3	Olivia Helm Chandler, AZ	1641 ± 74	36%	27%	17%	10%
2	Stephanie Turner Chandler, AZ	1615 ± 57	79%	43%	16%	8%
7	Terri Boyd Phoenix, AZ	1611 ± 65	58%	32%	12%	6%
5	Lee Profeta Scardina Phoenix, AZ	1609 ± 59	56%	29%	13%	5%
4	Rachel Bess Phoenix, AZ	1607 ± 55	55%	28%	12%	5%
13	Cara Eisinger Phoenix, AZ	1594 ± 74	45%	22%	9%	3%
16	Amber Valdivia Parts Unknown, AZ	1596 ± 59	29%	17%	8%	3%
12	Mary Profeta Scardina Sun City, AZ	1591 ± 57	44%	21%	8%	3%
10	Janel Valdez Phoenix, AZ	1586 ± 76	42%	20%	6%	3%
8	Meghan Bougher Scottsdale, AZ	1579 ± 74	56%	17%	8%	2%
6	Mollie Stoltenberg Mesa, AZ	1555 ± 57	55%	11%	4%	1%
9	Kathy Lovato Parts Unknown, Earth	1559 ± 69	44%	11%	4%	1%
11	Amanda Kennedy Mesa, AZ	1539 ± 59	45%	7%	2%	<1%
15	Krisha Shufran Chandler, AZ	1511 ± 53	21%	5%	<1%	<1%

ARKANSAS

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: ARKANSAS
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Allie Lawson Fayetteville, AR	1675 ± 69	96%	83%	64%	47%
3	Bec Taylor Fayetteville, AR	1599 ± 67	95%	80%	28%	15%
1	Lora Streeter Parts Unknown, AR	1603 ± 65	96%	53%	30%	11%
5	Luca Shameh Bentonville, AR	1593 ± 69	95%	59%	29%	10%
9	Lisa Weissman Rogers, AR	1597 ± 114	92%	46%	25%	9%
4	Gael Brice Bentonville, AR	1574 ± 71	75%	34%	15%	4%
7	Allison Frye Kansas City, MO	1544 ± 90	69%	13%	5%	2%
6	Pasha Korneychuk Fayetteville, AR	1484 ± 63	57%	12%	1%	<1%
13	Sammy McDonald Rogers, AR	1485 ± 145	25%	6%	1%	<1%
10	Kym Patterson Parts Unknown, Earth	1481 ± 84	31%	3%	<1%	<1%
11	Teresa Gunter Rogers, AR	1462 ± 123	43%	8%	<1%	<1%
15	Jessica McCoy Springfield, MO	1448 ± 92	4%	1%	<1%	<1%
16	Glenda Snow Parts Unknown, AR	1367 ± 74	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%
14	Deon St. Clair Tulsa, OK	1380 ± 78	5%	1%	<1%	<1%
8	Angela Korbe Fayetteville, AR	1410 ± 98	8%	<1%	<1%	<1%
12	Amy Patterson Fayetteville, AR	1373 ± 100	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%

CALIFORNIA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: CALIFORNIA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Leslie Ruckman Parts Unknown, CA	1736 ± 53	87%	72%	48%	36%
6	Louise Wagensonner San Francisco, CA	1678 ± 61	93%	77%	57%	24%
4	Jackie Olson San Francisco, CA	1704 ± 57	89%	62%	31%	21%
12	Samantha Stanko Seaside, CA	1655 ± 51	76%	30%	11%	6%
2	Mayumi Mae Monterey Park, CA	1617 ± 45	73%	44%	18%	5%
10	Shannon Ducharme San Francisco, CA	1596 ± 53	59%	29%	10%	2%
9	Paige Peck Monterey, CA	1618 ± 65	51%	12%	4%	2%
8	Cory Casella Los Angeles, CA	1615 ± 71	49%	11%	3%	1%
3	Laura Stoddard Rancho Cucamonga, CA	1568 ± 55	71%	17%	7%	1%
7	Lucy Cachux Parts Unknown, CA	1569 ± 55	41%	18%	5%	<1%
16	Lisa Buhrmester Santa Ana, CA	1591 ± 45	13%	5%	1%	<1%
15	Nikki Carmichael Seaside, CA	1539 ± 55	27%	10%	2%	<1%
5	Hillary Jacobson Westminster, CA	1566 ± 49	24%	5%	<1%	<1%
13	Ally Vides Glendora, CA	1545 ± 53	11%	3%	<1%	<1%
14	Amy Gunson Los Angeles, CA	1498 ± 57	29%	3%	<1%	<1%
11	Sheri Howell Parts Unknown, CA	1487 ± 51	7%	2%	<1%	<1%

COLORADO

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: COLORADO
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
13	Jennifer Peavler Denver, CO	1675 ± 188	63%	56%	38%	30%
1	Cassie Begay Denver, CO	1632 ± 61	91%	64%	30%	21%
2	Cindy Grote Denver, CO	1599 ± 67	87%	66%	46%	18%
4	Elyza Brillantes Denver, CO	1632 ± 67	37%	30%	17%	12%
3	Laura McCarthy Conifer, CO	1560 ± 80	82%	57%	27%	8%
9	Josie Warren Denver, CO	1584 ± 114	70%	28%	10%	5%
6	Summer Puente Boulder, CO	1511 ± 61	66%	27%	9%	2%
10	Deanna Scalf Arvada, CO	1517 ± 69	55%	17%	8%	2%
7	Tracy Whetstine Parts Unknown, CO	1506 ± 76	45%	14%	6%	<1%
5	Masha Dare Parts Unknown, Earth	1518 ± 110	51%	7%	2%	<1%
12	Brittanie Stepp Denver, CO	1516 ± 92	49%	7%	2%	<1%
8	Stephanie Koutavas Arvada, CO	1515 ± 69	30%	7%	1%	<1%
11	Gretchen Garcia Denver, CO	1457 ± 100	34%	9%	2%	<1%
14	Emily Unruh Parts Unknown, CO	1446 ± 82	18%	7%	1%	<1%
15	Mandy McCullough Durango, CO	1448 ± 92	13%	4%	<1%	<1%
16	Beth Smith Littleton, CO	1455 ± 78	9%	2%	<1%	<1%

CONNECTICUT

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: CONNECTICUT
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Holly Danowski Meriden, CT	1633 ± 63	94%	82%	56%	40%
14	Lauren Daknis Albany, NY	1601 ± 61	86%	68%	32%	21%
16	Elizabeth (Anna) Morse Great Neck, NY	1599 ± 73	58%	45%	31%	14%
1	Brenda Kabel East Hartford, CT	1572 ± 73	42%	30%	19%	8%
5	Alyssa Lee Parts Unknown, CT	1537 ± 67	84%	45%	18%	6%
4	Kristen Bayusik Meriden, CT	1533 ± 53	55%	30%	12%	3%
9	Anna Siembor Easthampton, MA	1520 ± 67	77%	23%	11%	3%
13	Nicole Turcotte Albany, NY	1517 ± 73	45%	22%	7%	2%
11	Anna Jacques Parts Unknown, Earth	1511 ± 74	62%	19%	4%	2%
7	Meg Griffin Parts Unknown, CT	1492 ± 90	90%	16%	4%	2%
6	Sarah Stroh Parts Unknown, CT	1473 ± 114	38%	9%	2%	<1%
3	Nancy Lennert Hartford, CT	1460 ± 78	14%	5%	<1%	<1%
8	Barbara Martin Parts Unknown, RI	1427 ± 65	23%	3%	<1%	<1%
12	Ariana Kabel Parts Unknown, Earth	1406 ± 96	16%	3%	<1%	<1%
15	Ashleigh Haberski Southington, CT	1424 ± 104	6%	2%	<1%	<1%
10	Mell Scalzi Middletown, CT	1323 ± 82	10%	<1%	<1%	<1%

DELAWARE

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: DELAWARE
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Stephanie Traub Washington, DC	1660 ± 43	82%	73%	65%	49%
2	Samantha Jacob Wilmington, DE	1609 ± 47	80%	62%	46%	22%
3	Naiviv Sillerico Arlington, VA	1554 ± 57	86%	64%	28%	10%
7	Marianne Hastings Parts Unknown, Earth	1532 ± 53	73%	25%	13%	4%
5	Madelynne Pursglove Audubon, NJ	1515 ± 67	71%	43%	10%	3%
16	Samantha Christina West Deptford, NJ	1543 ± 80	18%	11%	7%	3%
9	Megan Dellinger Parts Unknown, DE	1516 ± 82	61%	11%	7%	3%
4	Jennifer Richardson Parts Unknown, NJ	1494 ± 49	61%	31%	6%	2%
15	Kate Haberman Parts Unknown, Earth	1500 ± 73	20%	9%	4%	1%
6	Connie Pratzner Parts Unknown, DE	1481 ± 57	58%	20%	5%	<1%
8	Mary Beth Andrews Parts Unknown, Earth	1480 ± 59	39%	5%	2%	<1%
11	Jetta Hastings Magnolia, DE	1453 ± 96	42%	12%	2%	<1%
13	Amy K Smith Parts Unknown, MD	1456 ± 80	39%	14%	2%	<1%
12	Kim Zink Parts Unknown, DE	1443 ± 55	29%	11%	1%	<1%
10	Amanda Abbott Newark, DE	1452 ± 51	27%	4%	1%	<1%
14	Misty Jordan Pilesgrove, NJ	1417 ± 55	14%	4%	<1%	<1%

FLORIDA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: FLORIDA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
7	Gwen Octavia Parts Unknown, Earth	1730 ± 61	97%	85%	70%	51%
4	Dawn Ziatyk Orlando, FL	1680 ± 63	93%	74%	53%	24%
1	Bobbi Douthitt Saint Petersburg, FL	1630 ± 51	87%	70%	30%	10%
11	Jenna Silverman Tampa, FL	1638 ± 69	64%	46%	14%	7%
5	Ailsa Riddell Tampa, FL	1594 ± 51	72%	21%	10%	2%
15	Leah-Jean Jett Winter Haven, FL	1590 ± 61	68%	11%	5%	2%
6	Sierra Lieffort Lakeland, FL	1591 ± 67	36%	21%	4%	1%
14	Airi Macaluso Tarpon Springs, FL	1576 ± 59	58%	22%	4%	1%
8	Lisa Henry Callahan, FL	1523 ± 65	53%	13%	2%	<1%
3	Sandra Dodge Coral Springs, FL	1546 ± 49	42%	12%	2%	<1%
2	Stacey Stafford Orange Park, FL	1528 ± 53	32%	3%	<1%	<1%
9	Kyndal Solien Orlando, FL	1514 ± 67	47%	11%	2%	<1%
12	Mallory Sokol Titusville, FL	1517 ± 86	28%	4%	1%	<1%
16	Marci Geissler Orlando, FL	1484 ± 78	13%	5%	<1%	<1%
10	Alene Dickson Jacksonville, FL	1481 ± 67	3%	<1%	<1%	<1%
13	Shannon Parsons Osteen, FL	1479 ± 63	7%	2%	<1%	<1%

GEORGIA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: GEORGIA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
6	Cat McFarland Parts Unknown, Earth	1532 ± 73	83%	59%	37%	24%
5	Laura Nesbitt GA Parts Unknown, Earth	1501 ± 51	83%	57%	32%	16%
1	Meredith Pyle Atlanta, GA	1512 ± 65	66%	42%	25%	13%
10	Brittany Glidewell Atlanta, GA	1507 ± 74	61%	35%	18%	10%
2	Penney Vernieri Atlanta, GA	1495 ± 55	58%	29%	13%	7%
3	Rebecca Bockman Atlanta, GA	1480 ± 57	69%	28%	13%	6%
9	Jessie Ross Acworth, GA	1479 ± 63	62%	29%	15%	6%
15	Victoria Churchill Parts Unknown, GA	1472 ± 80	42%	18%	8%	4%
7	Amanda Broyles Acworth, GA	1471 ± 59	39%	18%	8%	3%
13	Nanci Pantss-Wigley Parts Unknown, GA	1443 ± 125	57%	23%	9%	3%
16	Holly Lacour Kennesaw, GA	1460 ± 73	34%	16%	7%	2%
8	Karrie Weddle Atlanta, GA	1440 ± 65	38%	13%	6%	2%
4	Tina Park Atlanta, GA	1420 ± 59	43%	14%	4%	1%
14	Darian Hailes Kennesaw, GA	1414 ± 90	31%	7%	2%	<1%
11	Suzanne Boeren Atlanta, GA	1408 ± 65	17%	6%	2%	<1%
12	Megan Stephens Roswell, GA	1380 ± 94	17%	6%	1%	<1%

IDAHO

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: IDAHO
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
13	Rebecca Drake Boise, ID	1535 ± 106	65%	53%	35%	24%
7	Meg McCarthy Boise, ID	1515 ± 96	73%	54%	36%	20%
16	Amber Morales Boise, ID	1500 ± 116	53%	43%	21%	12%
1	Debbie Smith Boise, ID	1492 ± 61	47%	37%	18%	10%
3	Brieana White Boise, ID	1489 ± 61	62%	42%	22%	10%
4	Andrea Hicks Meridian, ID	1484 ± 59	35%	24%	13%	6%
2	Mary Bosco Parts Unknown, ID	1451 ± 55	68%	25%	12%	4%
11	Sharky Jacaway Nampa, ID	1449 ± 82	62%	26%	11%	4%
5	Abby Parenteau Boise, ID	1436 ± 61	80%	22%	8%	3%
14	Roxanne Lewers Boise, ID	1446 ± 76	38%	20%	8%	3%
10	Amy Ditton Boise, ID	1430 ± 120	27%	13%	5%	2%
6	Ellie Grey Boise, ID	1414 ± 61	38%	12%	4%	1%
8	Daphne Jackson Boise, ID	1388 ± 76	50%	10%	2%	<1%
9	Davia Gutierrez Meridian, ID	1389 ± 61	50%	10%	2%	<1%
15	Crystal Wink Parts Unknown, Earth	1391 ± 98	32%	7%	2%	<1%
12	Alexis Gardner Boise, ID	1327 ± 106	20%	2%	<1%	<1%

ILLINOIS

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: ILLINOIS
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Jane Verwys Chicago, IL	1723 ± 57	97%	75%	59%	43%
3	Rachel Karlic Chicago, IL	1677 ± 67	78%	62%	39%	18%
5	Kate Porter Chicago, IL	1640 ± 74	87%	60%	19%	9%
15	Madeleine Benz Portland, OR	1657 ± 80	53%	37%	21%	9%
2	Anna Neal Parts Unknown, Earth	1645 ± 63	47%	31%	16%	6%
9	Christine Doherty Chicago, IL	1642 ± 74	76%	22%	13%	6%
7	Rebecca Hinsdale Chicago, IL	1609 ± 61	71%	27%	12%	3%
4	Kristen Gregory Schaumburg, IL	1594 ± 53	64%	26%	6%	2%
11	Bre Reynolds Chicago, IL	1580 ± 69	56%	16%	5%	1%
14	Cheryl Lininger Chicago, IL	1574 ± 65	22%	11%	4%	<1%
6	Natalie Natalie Chicago, IL	1560 ± 69	44%	11%	3%	<1%
13	Lindsey Shute Chicago, IL	1550 ± 76	36%	11%	1%	<1%
10	Penni Epstein Hoffman Estates, IL	1535 ± 67	29%	5%	1%	<1%
8	Emily Sweeney Chicago, IL	1551 ± 73	24%	3%	<1%	<1%
12	Erin Seiden Parts Unknown, IL	1485 ± 57	13%	3%	<1%	<1%
16	Regina Allen Plainfield, IL	1486 ± 76	3%	<1%	<1%	<1%

INDIANA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: INDIANA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Sydnee Deventer Fort Wayne, IN	1615 ± 51	93%	69%	37%	23%
3	Rachel Engels Fort Wayne, IN	1630 ± 55	76%	47%	29%	20%
4	Molly Oury Parts Unknown, IN	1606 ± 51	64%	46%	28%	14%
11	Lauren Hockemeyer Fort Wayne, IN	1608 ± 74	67%	34%	19%	11%
8	Danielle Alexander West Lafayette, IN	1586 ± 63	61%	38%	21%	9%
13	Carlee Dorman Fort Wayne, IN	1559 ± 76	36%	22%	11%	4%
1	Jen Ruper Cuyahoga Falls, OH	1554 ± 63	56%	25%	11%	4%
9	Sydney Wamsley New Albany, OH	1551 ± 86	39%	19%	9%	3%
12	Lindsey Sickler Lafayette, IN	1535 ± 59	54%	18%	8%	2%
7	Kristen Farnham Columbia City, IN	1538 ± 78	55%	17%	5%	2%
6	Rose Quinn Bluffton, IN	1549 ± 55	33%	11%	4%	2%
16	Shannon Cubit Parts Unknown, Earth	1536 ± 76	44%	17%	7%	2%
5	Trisha Burgess Fort Wayne, IN	1523 ± 61	46%	15%	6%	2%
14	Michela Phillabaum Parts Unknown, Earth	1537 ± 61	24%	9%	3%	1%
10	Olivia Haberkorn Fort Wayne, IN	1520 ± 57	45%	12%	3%	1%
15	Vickie Kirner Aurora, IL	1427 ± 82	7%	1%	<1%	<1%

KANSAS

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: KANSAS
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Keri Wing Overland Park, KS	1743 ± 47	100%	96%	89%	83%
2	Brianna Bush Wichita, KS	1556 ± 94	94%	65%	38%	5%
3	Susie Sprankle Wichita, KS	1550 ± 73	91%	63%	34%	4%
13	Kelli Harrod Kansas City, MO	1579 ± 76	62%	46%	6%	4%
4	Kristen Whitby Lee’s Summit, MO	1539 ± 61	38%	24%	2%	1%
10	Kathy Camden Parts Unknown, Earth	1509 ± 88	61%	24%	11%	<1%
11	Toni Gaston Wichita, KS	1500 ± 294	62%	24%	9%	<1%
5	Jaden Jacks Wichita, KS	1514 ± 76	76%	27%	2%	<1%
9	Victoria Whitetree Wichita, KS	1500 ± 294	71%	4%	1%	<1%
7	Casey Swain Wichita, KS	1473 ± 80	39%	11%	4%	<1%
6	Heidi Bush Parts Unknown, Earth	1457 ± 73	38%	11%	3%	<1%
12	Chelsea Walsh Wichita, KS	1418 ± 106	24%	3%	<1%	<1%
14	Stacee LaFrieda Parts Unknown, MO	1375 ± 67	9%	2%	<1%	<1%
8	Terry Raumschuh Kansas City, MO	1426 ± 67	29%	<1%	<1%	<1%
16	Pearl King Kansas City, MO	1384 ± 151	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
15	Danna Sprankle Wichita, KS	1348 ± 90	6%	<1%	<1%	<1%

MANITOBA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: MANITOBA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Jill Hisco Winnipeg, MB	1689 ± 94	93%	80%	47%	34%
13	Jessie Fillmore Winnipeg, MB	1689 ± 98	86%	68%	39%	28%
11	Tammy Klos Parts Unknown, Earth	1644 ± 102	89%	65%	51%	21%
2	Samara May Parts Unknown, MB	1574 ± 78	64%	47%	18%	4%
3	Cara Denyer Winnipeg, MB	1582 ± 88	72%	26%	16%	4%
12	Kayla Kennedy Toronto, ON	1605 ± 98	76%	24%	8%	4%
8	Liz Miller WPG Winnipeg, MB	1551 ± 67	94%	17%	4%	1%
15	Katie Milbery Winnipeg, MB	1529 ± 88	36%	22%	6%	<1%
10	Avery Quinn Winnipeg, MB	1505 ± 80	61%	21%	4%	<1%
14	Joy Denyer Parts Unknown, Earth	1506 ± 90	28%	5%	2%	<1%
4	Jody Linn Winnipeg, MB	1545 ± 73	14%	6%	1%	<1%
5	Janice Sawka Parts Unknown, MB	1500 ± 294	24%	3%	<1%	<1%
6	Ruby Calvez Winnipeg, MB	1487 ± 76	11%	3%	1%	<1%
7	Janine Perry Winnipeg, MB	1465 ± 90	39%	9%	1%	<1%
16	Annika Friesen Winnipeg, MB	1497 ± 88	7%	3%	<1%	<1%
9	Sharla Perry Winnipeg, MB	1342 ± 90	6%	<1%	<1%	<1%

MARYLAND

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: MARYLAND
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Lumi Legato Hagerstown, MD	1648 ± 51	77%	64%	48%	33%
4	Candace Selby Glen Burnie, MD	1635 ± 51	68%	48%	38%	23%
3	Alex Brackett Parts Unknown, WV	1589 ± 53	72%	50%	23%	11%
5	Cindy Brackett Parts Unknown, WV	1581 ± 67	81%	33%	21%	9%
1	Juana Summers Baltimore, MD	1566 ± 63	68%	48%	18%	7%
13	Angela Pecora Shepherdstown, WV	1572 ± 57	32%	17%	10%	4%
10	Dana Ost Columbia, MD	1539 ± 80	64%	17%	7%	3%
11	Gina Collecchia Brooklyn, NY	1538 ± 92	62%	25%	8%	3%
15	Lindsey Most Vienna, VA	1549 ± 94	23%	13%	6%	2%
8	Jennifer Coleman Ferndale, MD	1510 ± 61	56%	21%	5%	1%
14	Courtney Coleman Parts Unknown, Earth	1513 ± 76	28%	13%	3%	<1%
16	Shannon Keys Baltimore, MD	1503 ± 57	32%	16%	4%	<1%
9	Wendy Dunn Hummelstown, PA	1493 ± 59	44%	15%	3%	<1%
6	Cat Hodge Frederick, MD	1499 ± 49	38%	12%	3%	<1%
7	Lauren Scott Parts Unknown, Earth	1490 ± 73	36%	6%	2%	<1%
12	Cassandra Allen Glen Burnie, MD	1462 ± 78	19%	2%	<1%	<1%

MASSACHUSETTS

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: MASSACHUSETTS
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Zoe Vrabel Boston, MA	1690 ± 49	92%	87%	72%	66%
5	Maddie Orcutt Cambridge, MA	1587 ± 73	98%	83%	23%	17%
3	Stephanie Vecellio Parts Unknown, Earth	1509 ± 96	80%	41%	25%	4%
2	Sharon Hebenstreit Hudson, MA	1508 ± 82	68%	50%	25%	4%
6	Pearl Burns Holyoke, MA	1516 ± 82	57%	33%	21%	4%
11	Tatiana Mowry Parts Unknown, MA	1495 ± 88	43%	22%	13%	2%
8	Cheryl Przytula Parts Unknown, MA	1491 ± 123	72%	7%	2%	1%
16	Lindsay Cole Boston, MA	1514 ± 73	8%	5%	2%	<1%
15	Allegra Pericles Cambridge, MA	1448 ± 118	32%	19%	6%	<1%
7	Hannah Furrelle Parts Unknown, MA	1435 ± 82	59%	21%	6%	<1%
13	Mariessa DeVincentis Parts Unknown, Earth	1469 ± 71	61%	12%	<1%	<1%
4	Kristi Kelsey Ithaca, NY	1434 ± 90	39%	5%	<1%	<1%
10	Elspeth Stewart Dedham, MA	1404 ± 143	41%	11%	3%	<1%
14	Betsy Bouche Somerville, MA	1398 ± 84	20%	4%	1%	<1%
9	Allison Flintoff Parts Unknown, Earth	1414 ± 112	28%	<1%	<1%	<1%
12	Jennifer Reigner Parts Unknown, Earth	1315 ± 82	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%

MICHIGAN

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: MICHIGAN
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
12	Cindy Yao Parts Unknown, Earth	1638 ± 67	73%	50%	38%	26%
3	Heather Kendrick Lansing, MI	1615 ± 69	78%	55%	41%	24%
4	Jenny Lentz Kalamazoo, MI	1587 ± 71	86%	36%	22%	12%
1	Karen Cummings Grand Rapids, MI	1576 ± 61	79%	53%	22%	11%
6	Tami Harris Grand Rapids, MI	1558 ± 67	88%	34%	20%	8%
2	Stacey Siegel Grand Rapids, MI	1544 ± 69	67%	39%	15%	5%
7	melinda salminen Midland, MI	1535 ± 67	75%	40%	15%	5%
9	Lisa LaBelle Holland, MI	1534 ± 63	68%	30%	9%	3%
5	Leeann DeSloover Monroe, MI	1561 ± 55	27%	13%	7%	3%
14	Heather Catenacci Parts Unknown, Earth	1515 ± 55	22%	9%	4%	1%
15	Karin Tessin Grand Rapids, MI	1487 ± 67	33%	14%	4%	<1%
16	Samantha VanderBand Grand Rapids, MI	1471 ± 76	21%	8%	1%	<1%
8	Desi Taylor Kalamazoo, MI	1473 ± 74	32%	9%	1%	<1%
10	Robin Abbott Merrill, MI	1450 ± 63	25%	7%	1%	<1%
13	Abby Dremstedt Grand Rapids, MI	1444 ± 73	14%	1%	<1%	<1%
11	Jennifer Timperley Meridian charter Township, MI	1406 ± 78	12%	1%	<1%	<1%

MINNESOTA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: MINNESOTA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Whitney Lindaas Minneapolis, MN	1624 ± 49	77%	53%	33%	20%
1	Erika Corio Minneapolis, MN	1619 ± 69	72%	49%	30%	18%
11	Lisa McGrath Minneapolis, MN	1607 ± 69	58%	39%	21%	11%
4	Krista Larson Oakdale, MN	1597 ± 49	62%	37%	19%	10%
5	Brooke Burns Minneapolis, MN	1586 ± 57	65%	33%	16%	9%
10	Angie DonCarlos Saint Paul, MN	1580 ± 59	70%	29%	15%	7%
6	Sam Arnold Minneapolis, MN	1580 ± 65	42%	25%	11%	5%
3	Brooke Tousignant Saint Paul, MN	1567 ± 47	70%	29%	12%	5%
8	Erin Bjork Saint Paul, MN	1565 ± 59	54%	22%	10%	4%
13	Bethany Scribner-Carlson Minneapolis, MN	1555 ± 63	38%	17%	7%	3%
9	Michelle Ebert Saint Paul, MN	1551 ± 59	46%	16%	7%	2%
16	Aileen Beno-Lietz Minneapolis, MN	1544 ± 67	28%	13%	5%	2%
12	Naomi Lund Minneapolis, MN	1536 ± 55	35%	13%	4%	1%
15	Leah Odegard Minneapolis, MN	1528 ± 51	23%	10%	3%	<1%
7	Elizabeth Boelke Minneapolis, MN	1511 ± 57	30%	8%	3%	<1%
14	Kathy Tifft Burnsville, MN	1502 ± 59	30%	7%	2%	<1%

MISSISSIPPI

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: MISSISSIPPI
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Emma King Starkville, MS	1591 ± 67	94%	86%	69%	40%
1	Jessica Thaxton Flowood, MS	1612 ± 63	79%	69%	55%	36%
14	Paris Fisher New Orleans, LA	1500 ± 294	76%	49%	16%	6%
5	Amanda Turner Starkville, MS	1520 ± 67	55%	37%	13%	5%
12	Paige Hartness Noxapater, MS	1500 ± 294	45%	28%	9%	4%
4	Leslie Sinclair Parts Unknown, MS	1477 ± 71	85%	34%	9%	3%
16	Amanda Tongumpun Southaven, MS	1500 ± 294	21%	13%	6%	2%
6	Susan Montgomery Memphis, TN	1464 ± 51	64%	30%	8%	2%
8	Susana Maldonado Parts Unknown, FL	1476 ± 92	60%	12%	5%	2%
9	Nicole Blue Seminary, MS	1443 ± 78	40%	6%	2%	<1%
10	Michaela Waitschies Parts Unknown, AL	1413 ± 163	52%	6%	2%	<1%
11	Angela Dawley Parts Unknown, MS	1416 ± 141	36%	12%	2%	<1%
7	Cecila King Starkville, MS	1408 ± 71	48%	5%	2%	<1%
3	Tristin Chapman Byram, MS	1397 ± 92	24%	8%	<1%	<1%
15	Sage Brazelton Memphis, TN	1389 ± 102	6%	2%	<1%	<1%
13	Olivia Mitton Ridgeland, MS	1340 ± 114	15%	2%	<1%	<1%

NEBRASKA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: NEBRASKA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Kara Galle Omaha, NE	1606 ± 76	94%	77%	65%	47%
1	Courtney Moncrief Parts Unknown, NE	1567 ± 69	73%	51%	38%	19%
13	Ashley Cabrera Omaha, NE	1519 ± 135	72%	51%	23%	9%
9	Shonda Jenkins Omaha, NE	1518 ± 98	70%	29%	18%	7%
11	Alex Kasun Omaha, NE	1500 ± 294	59%	42%	12%	5%
10	Ciara Kerckhove Omaha, NE	1491 ± 100	53%	11%	7%	3%
6	Sara Paczosa Omaha, NE	1471 ± 80	41%	27%	6%	2%
7	Maria Tschetter Parts Unknown, Earth	1482 ± 96	47%	10%	5%	2%
16	Ivy Smolinski Parts Unknown, Earth	1489 ± 73	27%	13%	7%	2%
5	Rina Salado Omaha, NE	1445 ± 122	52%	18%	4%	1%
4	Jen Skibbe Parts Unknown, NE	1441 ± 69	28%	14%	4%	<1%
12	Judi Neswick Parts Unknown, NE	1438 ± 110	48%	17%	4%	<1%
8	Crystal Buhrmann Lincoln, NE	1448 ± 96	30%	7%	3%	<1%
3	Donna Krutsinger Parts Unknown, NE	1427 ± 88	56%	19%	3%	<1%
14	Rebecca Tschetter Omaha, NE	1407 ± 98	44%	12%	2%	<1%
15	Laura Manley Parts Unknown, Earth	1398 ± 169	6%	2%	<1%	<1%

NEVADA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: NEVADA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
3	Caitlin Collier Las Vegas, NV	1623 ± 61	89%	69%	57%	42%
4	Michelle Leutzinger Reno, NV	1561 ± 65	84%	50%	33%	15%
5	Michele Zebrowitz Reno, NV	1547 ± 63	65%	33%	21%	8%
2	Daniela Sonnino Sparks, NV	1530 ± 65	67%	48%	16%	8%
1	Natalie Towle Las Vegas, NV	1533 ± 61	71%	44%	20%	7%
6	Tracey Dressback Reno, NV	1542 ± 57	66%	20%	13%	7%
8	Nicole Sund Reno, NV	1511 ± 76	71%	36%	15%	5%
12	Theresa Martin Parts Unknown, Earth	1497 ± 74	35%	13%	6%	2%
11	Stacy Cusack Reno, NV	1490 ± 86	34%	7%	3%	1%
15	Rhiannon Box Reno, NV	1471 ± 92	33%	17%	3%	<1%
7	Scarlett Spatucci Parts Unknown, NV	1464 ± 71	52%	18%	3%	<1%
10	Love Smith Las Vegas, NV	1456 ± 57	48%	16%	3%	<1%
16	Kim Tremblay Las Vegas, NV	1461 ± 59	29%	12%	3%	<1%
14	Tammy Thiel Sparks, NV	1461 ± 74	11%	3%	1%	<1%
9	Rachel Johnson Las Vegas, NV	1436 ± 59	29%	8%	2%	<1%
13	Dawn Burns Reno, NV	1433 ± 92	16%	3%	<1%	<1%

NEW JERSEY

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: NEW JERSEY
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
8	Bridget Den Boer Hamilton Township, NJ	1561 ± 92	91%	70%	55%	27%
2	Cate Treese Parts Unknown, NJ	1578 ± 51	100%	68%	38%	25%
3	Jade Ang Parts Unknown, NY	1587 ± 61	77%	51%	29%	20%
11	Lindsey Rhoades New York, NY	1551 ± 74	70%	32%	15%	9%
7	Kate Smith NY Middletown, NY	1529 ± 61	89%	31%	13%	7%
4	Stephanie Lesser Boca Raton, FL	1470 ± 69	86%	50%	16%	4%
1	Morgan Levinson Parts Unknown, Earth	1485 ± 59	72%	23%	14%	4%
5	Michele Colomer Parts Unknown, NY	1447 ± 73	51%	24%	7%	1%
14	Becca Lipstein Parts Unknown, Earth	1494 ± 74	23%	9%	3%	1%
12	Debbie Baiano Monroe Township, NJ	1445 ± 94	49%	23%	6%	1%
6	Jess Warren Parts Unknown, NY	1485 ± 55	30%	8%	2%	<1%
16	Ali Bisset New York, NY	1409 ± 96	28%	5%	2%	<1%
9	Kiley Dalrymple New York, NY	1386 ± 88	9%	3%	<1%	<1%
13	Katie Bergin Parts Unknown, NJ	1322 ± 114	14%	2%	<1%	<1%
10	Shai Jones Middletown, NY	1374 ± 76	11%	<1%	<1%	<1%
15	Joanne Casale Parts Unknown, NJ	1204 ± 102	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

NEW MEXICO

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: NEW MEXICO
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
9	Jacqueline Bell Parts Unknown, Earth	1644 ± 118	94%	50%	42%	29%
1	Mandy Peel Las Cruces, NM	1636 ± 73	96%	49%	40%	27%
7	Brenna Peel Las Cruces, NM	1611 ± 86	69%	44%	34%	17%
2	Meghan Shattuck Albuquerque, NM	1586 ± 74	73%	35%	26%	10%
3	Natalie Jackson Albuquerque, NM	1543 ± 76	71%	59%	21%	6%
4	Danielle Jones Albuquerque, NM	1537 ± 78	78%	47%	10%	4%
10	Lauren Skogen Parts Unknown, Earth	1549 ± 88	31%	14%	9%	3%
5	Kristin Skogen Parts Unknown, NM	1516 ± 86	63%	31%	6%	2%
15	Becca Addie Parts Unknown, Earth	1500 ± 294	27%	7%	4%	<1%
14	Nancy Ellis Parts Unknown, NM	1473 ± 123	29%	19%	4%	<1%
12	Natoria Martinez Las Cruces, NM	1471 ± 100	37%	14%	1%	<1%
6	Ruth Dove Albuquerque, NM	1433 ± 80	61%	15%	2%	<1%
13	Charlotte Wansa Parts Unknown, Earth	1442 ± 86	22%	8%	<1%	<1%
11	Libby McDonald Parts Unknown, Earth	1399 ± 92	39%	7%	<1%	<1%
16	Tawnya Ingimundson Ray Parts Unknown, Earth	1401 ± 122	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%
8	Daryl Ray Albuquerque, NM	1437 ± 88	6%	<1%	<1%	<1%

NEW YORK

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: NEW YORK
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
5	Anna Wolk New York, NY	1660 ± 71	96%	85%	53%	41%
1	Miriam Nadler Parts Unknown, Earth	1645 ± 73	92%	75%	39%	29%
2	Jeanette Fredrick Buffalo, NY	1576 ± 78	79%	52%	29%	9%
11	Anna Frenkel Parts Unknown, NY	1575 ± 94	52%	34%	20%	6%
6	Stephanie Guida Parts Unknown, Earth	1570 ± 80	48%	32%	18%	5%
3	Kaite Martin Parts Unknown, NY	1539 ± 61	76%	30%	14%	3%
9	Lindsey Rhoades New York, NY	1551 ± 74	66%	18%	5%	2%
10	Lauren Burner-Lawrence Brooklyn, NY	1532 ± 71	56%	24%	10%	2%
7	Kaitlyn Reese Parts Unknown, NY	1510 ± 59	44%	16%	6%	<1%
4	Courtney Wetzel Parts Unknown, NY	1504 ± 69	56%	8%	1%	<1%
8	Sam L Hall New York, NY	1495 ± 80	34%	5%	<1%	<1%
15	Christine Varney New York, NY	1471 ± 82	21%	8%	2%	<1%
13	Aimee Poulin New York, NY	1485 ± 88	44%	5%	<1%	<1%
14	Michelle Capobianco New York, NY	1447 ± 71	24%	4%	<1%	<1%
16	Rachel Grimm Parts Unknown, Earth	1458 ± 78	8%	2%	<1%	<1%
12	Ida Kreutzer Parts Unknown, NY	1428 ± 82	4%	1%	<1%	<1%

NORTH CAROLINA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: NORTH CAROLINA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Kaylee Campbell Charlotte, NC	1798 ± 61	100%	98%	75%	66%
4	Samantha Bacon Reidsville, NC	1719 ± 84	97%	80%	23%	16%
2	Christina Capra Charlotte, NC	1666 ± 67	96%	83%	61%	13%
3	Kat Lake Parts Unknown, NC	1618 ± 78	78%	59%	25%	3%
5	Ellen Raby Raleigh, NC	1617 ± 96	73%	17%	2%	<1%
6	Joan McCool Cary, NC	1540 ± 67	60%	21%	5%	<1%
10	Kristina Deacon Asheville, NC	1527 ± 53	50%	8%	2%	<1%
7	Ally Pecarro Charlotte, NC	1528 ± 61	50%	9%	3%	<1%
14	Frances Staelin Raleigh, NC	1516 ± 76	22%	10%	2%	<1%
11	Megan Hirschy Charlotte, NC	1500 ± 294	40%	10%	2%	<1%
12	Nerissa Durvas Asheville, NC	1538 ± 84	27%	3%	<1%	<1%
9	Elia Lake Cary, NC	1502 ± 76	46%	<1%	<1%	<1%
8	Meredith Mirmow Asheville, NC	1517 ± 63	54%	<1%	<1%	<1%
13	Becky Flores Charlotte, NC	1478 ± 69	3%	<1%	<1%	<1%
15	Sarah Gathings Charlotte, NC	1427 ± 78	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%
16	Heidi Reule Raleigh, NC	1385 ± 80	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

OHIO

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: OHIO
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Amy Kesting Columbus, OH	1681 ± 63	96%	73%	56%	31%
12	Linsey Rogers Cincinnati, OH	1693 ± 78	75%	55%	36%	24%
1	Valencia Kelly Cleveland, OH	1669 ± 57	88%	70%	37%	22%
4	Holly Koskinen Columbus, OH	1628 ± 53	80%	30%	14%	7%
3	Nicole Turk Cleveland, OH	1603 ± 51	83%	47%	16%	5%
7	Liz Goode Columbus, OH	1592 ± 73	54%	15%	8%	2%
5	Diane Spackman Dayton, OH	1607 ± 59	25%	13%	5%	2%
6	Fiona Kelly Cleveland, OH	1583 ± 67	53%	26%	8%	2%
10	Chelsea Pomeroy Columbus, OH	1580 ± 61	46%	11%	6%	2%
11	Beck Gallagher Pittsburgh, PA	1575 ± 53	47%	23%	6%	1%
8	Kelley Carr Cleveland, OH	1567 ± 67	57%	15%	4%	1%
9	Xan Sprouse Columbus, OH	1544 ± 65	43%	9%	2%	<1%
13	Stephanie Zona Parts Unknown, OH	1520 ± 63	20%	3%	<1%	<1%
16	Amy Virostko Cleveland, OH	1521 ± 69	12%	5%	<1%	<1%
14	Amber Woods Parts Unknown, Earth	1479 ± 63	17%	4%	<1%	<1%
15	Sarah Kunz Cleveland, OH	1455 ± 61	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%

ONTARIO

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: ONTARIO
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
3	Caitlyn Pascal Ottawa, ON	1608 ± 94	87%	57%	40%	25%
1	LC Buckingham Ottawa, ON	1586 ± 69	98%	67%	40%	21%
7	Alisa McClain Ottawa, ON	1572 ± 82	79%	61%	29%	14%
4	Polly Vernon Toronto, ON	1561 ± 63	89%	49%	24%	10%
5	Megan Sprague Ottawa, ON	1565 ± 78	74%	40%	20%	9%
11	Vicki Mavraganis Ottawa, ON	1560 ± 98	50%	20%	12%	6%
6	Danielle Laverdure Ottawa, ON	1561 ± 65	50%	20%	11%	6%
8	Gabi Antaya Ottawa, ON	1533 ± 73	88%	32%	14%	5%
15	Maverick MacLean Ottawa, ON	1474 ± 102	53%	15%	3%	<1%
2	Lauren Horejda Toronto, ON	1462 ± 57	47%	12%	2%	<1%
12	Jeanne Klodt Parts Unknown, Earth	1484 ± 74	26%	9%	2%	<1%
10	Heather Ryerse Ottawa, ON	1470 ± 90	21%	11%	2%	<1%
14	Jill King Toronto, ON	1455 ± 80	13%	2%	<1%	<1%
9	Kathy Podwin Parts Unknown, ON	1375 ± 112	12%	<1%	<1%	<1%
16	Anne-Louise Colligan Ottawa, ON	1325 ± 82	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%
13	Pamela Taplay Ottawa, ON	1402 ± 74	11%	1%	<1%	<1%

OREGON

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: OREGON
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Brianne Hunt Portland, OR	1616 ± 61	89%	66%	43%	28%
2	Sunni Williams Eugene, OR	1582 ± 59	90%	59%	31%	15%
3	Brenna Bechtold Portland, OR	1596 ± 94	65%	42%	26%	14%
11	Rachel Haukkala Portland, OR	1566 ± 84	76%	35%	18%	8%
4	Esther Ahronheim Portland, OR	1576 ± 51	62%	34%	16%	8%
5	Ashlee von Buttlar Portland, OR	1567 ± 67	57%	30%	13%	6%
10	Nicolette Biskamp Portland, OR	1544 ± 55	65%	29%	12%	5%
14	Sarah Flowerday Portland, OR	1548 ± 71	35%	18%	8%	3%
12	Stephanie Davidson Portland, OR	1545 ± 90	43%	19%	7%	3%
9	Leslie J Martin Portland, OR	1540 ± 73	53%	18%	7%	3%
13	Megan Landers Eugene, OR	1538 ± 80	38%	17%	6%	3%
8	Dawnda Durbin Portland, OR	1532 ± 53	47%	14%	6%	2%
7	Lexi Whittemore Portland, OR	1496 ± 69	35%	11%	3%	<1%
6	Linda Volckening Portland, OR	1474 ± 67	24%	5%	1%	<1%
16	Sara Urban Portland, OR	1454 ± 71	11%	3%	<1%	<1%
15	Brandy Young Portland, OR	1412 ± 74	10%	2%	<1%	<1%

PENNSYLVANIA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: PENNSYLVANIA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Tessa Morton Malvern, PA	1650 ± 73	90%	62%	47%	29%
2	Stacey Moritz Pittsburgh, PA	1639 ± 53	79%	57%	36%	21%
3	Alyx Clove Parts Unknown, Earth	1623 ± 67	79%	49%	27%	14%
9	Terri Morton Chesterbrook, PA	1604 ± 71	71%	28%	17%	8%
11	Priyanka Kochhar Pittsburgh, PA	1599 ± 82	63%	31%	15%	7%
7	Sarah Kwiecien Pittsburgh, PA	1578 ± 53	82%	32%	14%	5%
5	Kim Smith Gap, PA	1586 ± 69	55%	35%	13%	5%
12	Nicole Somplatsky Pittsburgh, PA	1570 ± 84	45%	27%	9%	3%
13	Sandy Graver Pittsburgh, PA	1545 ± 61	50%	20%	6%	2%
6	Kathy Bobeck Parts Unknown, PA	1556 ± 71	37%	14%	5%	2%
4	Anita Thallmayer Plymouth Meeting, PA	1542 ± 63	50%	19%	5%	1%
8	Jamme Thomas Phoenixville, PA	1533 ± 73	29%	7%	3%	<1%
15	Elise Fantom Pittsburgh, PA	1532 ± 143	21%	9%	3%	<1%
14	Stephanie Savy Media, PA	1514 ± 63	21%	6%	1%	<1%
16	Beck Gusler Philadelphia, PA	1481 ± 94	10%	2%	<1%	<1%
10	Anne Gibson Royersford, PA	1462 ± 76	18%	2%	<1%	<1%

QUEBEC

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: QUEBEC
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
8	Paige Casselman Ottawa, ON	1573 ± 73	91%	80%	54%	42%
5	Charlotte Fillmore-Handlon Parts Unknown, Earth	1527 ± 102	86%	53%	24%	16%
7	Sue Fisher Ottawa, ON	1495 ± 135	85%	53%	31%	12%
13	Hazel Fernandez Montreal, QC	1500 ± 294	58%	28%	11%	6%
2	Gabrielle Mountenay Montreal, QC	1476 ± 92	79%	39%	21%	6%
3	any plamondon Gatineau, QC	1480 ± 96	62%	38%	19%	6%
6	Maryz Bedard Terrebonne, QC	1465 ± 104	78%	39%	18%	5%
4	Tanya Dranzewski Montreal, QC	1469 ± 84	42%	16%	5%	2%
14	Jax Norman Parts Unknown, Earth	1438 ± 131	38%	19%	7%	2%
1	Laney Roberts Gatineau, QC	1428 ± 94	60%	11%	3%	<1%
16	Shannon Gillette Montreal, QC	1398 ± 188	40%	5%	1%	<1%
9	Dominique Rabideau Montreal, Earth	1399 ± 104	9%	4%	<1%	<1%
15	Ari Macgillivary Montreal, QC	1370 ± 137	21%	5%	1%	<1%
12	Caroline Brisson Montreal, QC	1386 ± 110	14%	3%	<1%	<1%
11	Anne Almey Montreal, QC	1360 ± 145	22%	5%	<1%	<1%
10	Julie Desrochers Montreal, QC	1359 ± 116	15%	4%	<1%	<1%

RHODE ISLAND

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: RHODE ISLAND
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
12	Marina Conte Providence, RI	1647 ± 139	71%	67%	50%	44%
1	Marissa Pratt Parts Unknown, Earth	1579 ± 84	95%	73%	29%	22%
7	Emily Rose Parts Unknown, RI	1531 ± 122	71%	61%	49%	15%
5	Kylie Bateman Fairhaven, MA	1575 ± 116	29%	24%	13%	10%
8	Stephanie Harvey Westport, PA	1500 ± 82	81%	24%	5%	3%
3	Jerricka Hill Providence, RI	1450 ± 80	61%	41%	16%	2%
10	Grace Whitman Pawtucket, RI	1458 ± 139	29%	21%	13%	2%
4	Sheri Hendricks Providence, RI	1461 ± 67	80%	9%	2%	<1%
14	Denise Gautreau Westerly, RI	1414 ± 94	39%	23%	7%	<1%
11	Phoebe Pitassi Parts Unknown, RI	1397 ± 125	58%	22%	6%	<1%
2	Amber Lee RI Providence, RI	1389 ± 65	55%	10%	4%	<1%
15	Saga Soderback Providence, RI	1373 ± 120	45%	7%	3%	<1%
6	Colleen Riley Parts Unknown, Earth	1371 ± 73	42%	13%	3%	<1%
9	Michelle Barney Parts Unknown, RI	1391 ± 114	19%	2%	<1%	<1%
16	Julia Barnes-Brown Needham, MA	1362 ± 78	5%	1%	<1%	<1%
13	Heather Rzewnicki Marren Pawtucket, RI	1345 ± 155	20%	<1%	<1%	<1%

SASKATCHEWAN

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: SASKATCHEWAN
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Meghan Pryor Regina, SK	1540 ± 71	61%	52%	33%	21%
5	Marla Swanson Weyburn, SK	1508 ± 80	91%	55%	32%	16%
11	Allison Fowlow Regina, SK	1505 ± 96	87%	47%	23%	13%
9	Riva Racette Parts Unknown, Earth	1500 ± 294	73%	44%	23%	11%
15	Keely Kravanya Parts Unknown, Earth	1500 ± 294	39%	29%	15%	8%
3	Christa Cossar Parts Unknown, Earth	1499 ± 88	54%	29%	14%	7%
13	Katie Pearce Parts Unknown, Earth	1491 ± 106	63%	31%	17%	7%
1	Shawn Hooey Parts Unknown, Earth	1482 ± 71	69%	35%	17%	7%
14	Beth Lucier Parts Unknown, Earth	1489 ± 94	46%	23%	10%	5%
4	Shannon Berry-Krieser Parts Unknown, Earth	1448 ± 76	37%	13%	6%	2%
7	Shauna Tiefenbach Parts Unknown, Earth	1425 ± 100	71%	16%	5%	2%
16	Chloe Pryor Parts Unknown, Earth	1421 ± 125	31%	11%	3%	<1%
8	Cathy Tiefenbach Regina, SK	1413 ± 98	27%	10%	2%	<1%
6	Shelby Lowe Saskatoon, SK	1354 ± 120	13%	2%	<1%	<1%
10	Lillian Cossar Parts Unknown, Earth	1350 ± 92	29%	3%	<1%	<1%
12	Velay Vongphakdy Parts Unknown, Earth	1337 ± 118	9%	1%	<1%	<1%

SOUTH CAROLINA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: SOUTH CAROLINA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Kim Martinez Columbia, SC	1646 ± 61	94%	73%	47%	34%
5	Mia Henderson Columbia, SC	1602 ± 82	86%	71%	51%	23%
14	Callie Holman Columbia, SC	1627 ± 84	78%	58%	31%	21%
7	Fallyn Widdis Lexington, SC	1567 ± 61	79%	23%	10%	5%
1	Megan Douglass Columbia, SC	1542 ± 63	56%	33%	14%	4%
11	Allison Brillhart Columbia, SC	1560 ± 73	66%	24%	8%	4%
8	Sandy Murray Columbia, SC	1528 ± 61	59%	28%	11%	3%
16	Robin Shackelford Columbia, SC	1522 ± 78	44%	23%	8%	2%
9	Sari Kitch Parts Unknown, SC	1501 ± 78	41%	16%	5%	1%
3	Brittney Matto Parts Unknown, SC	1526 ± 84	22%	10%	3%	<1%
13	Danielle Hiller Parts Unknown, SC	1488 ± 69	54%	13%	5%	<1%
6	Krysten Benke Charleston, SC	1504 ± 78	34%	8%	1%	<1%
4	Lindsay Wincek Parts Unknown, SC	1471 ± 67	46%	10%	3%	<1%
12	Veronica Carbonell Anderson, SC	1459 ± 71	14%	6%	2%	<1%
10	Jennifer Gaspich Simpsonville, SC	1462 ± 78	21%	2%	<1%	<1%
15	Sarah Kelly Columbia, SC	1438 ± 65	6%	1%	<1%	<1%

TENNESSEE

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: TENNESSEE
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Emily Solomon Parts Unknown, Earth	1573 ± 67	79%	59%	35%	22%
4	Sara Yoder Nashville, TN	1552 ± 55	78%	44%	24%	14%
3	Amanda Chuang Nashville, TN	1555 ± 55	70%	40%	24%	13%
6	Bonnie Aldcroft-Curran Nashville, TN	1547 ± 59	63%	34%	20%	10%
2	Kathy Adler Lewisburg, KY	1541 ± 53	65%	36%	19%	9%
12	Cher Farnsworth Nashville, Earth	1534 ± 67	50%	25%	12%	6%
7	Brittany Majewski Nashville, TN	1527 ± 76	55%	28%	13%	6%
5	Megan Jackson TN Parts Unknown, Earth	1533 ± 71	50%	25%	12%	6%
10	Samantha Quattlebaum Memphis, TN	1512 ± 61	45%	21%	9%	4%
9	Cassie Rice Parts Unknown, Earth	1493 ± 98	54%	18%	7%	3%
11	Melissa Lummus Nashville, TN	1503 ± 53	37%	15%	6%	2%
8	Krista Waldee Memphis, TN	1479 ± 53	46%	13%	5%	2%
15	Corrinne Hills Nashville, TN	1490 ± 55	35%	14%	5%	1%
14	Hannah Wingfield Parts Unknown, TN	1485 ± 67	30%	11%	4%	1%
16	Amanda Dodd Lebanon, TN	1473 ± 73	21%	10%	3%	<1%
13	Quinn Hills Nashville, TN	1454 ± 59	22%	6%	2%	<1%

TEXAS

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: TEXAS
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
2	Hope Love San Antonio, TX	1716 ± 59	86%	72%	59%	43%
4	Elizabeth Dronet Houston, TX	1667 ± 57	76%	54%	34%	17%
1	Alice Young San Antonio, TX	1660 ± 59	72%	55%	32%	15%
11	Emily Hoffman Katy, TX	1611 ± 57	53%	32%	10%	4%
6	Lisa Shore Houston, TX	1602 ± 67	47%	27%	8%	3%
7	Lori Love San Antonio, TX	1602 ± 55	65%	16%	8%	3%
3	Miette Dronet Houston, TX	1593 ± 63	71%	33%	9%	3%
5	Rebecca Salam Austin, TX	1602 ± 67	57%	21%	9%	3%
8	Savannah Archuleta Denton, TX	1582 ± 59	60%	20%	7%	2%
12	Liz Nebeker Houston, TX	1581 ± 57	43%	14%	5%	2%
16	Cinthia Guadiana San Antonio, TX	1580 ± 57	28%	15%	5%	1%
13	Leslie Speights Houston, TX	1578 ± 51	24%	11%	4%	1%
15	Tricia Gronnevik San Antonio, TX	1572 ± 57	14%	6%	3%	1%
10	Gina Low Katy, TX	1552 ± 59	35%	5%	2%	<1%
9	Melody Zisman San Antonio, TX	1549 ± 69	40%	10%	3%	<1%
14	Lora Tennison Allen, TX	1524 ± 65	29%	8%	1%	<1%

VERMONT

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: VERMONT
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Emily May Middlebury, VT	1657 ± 100	94%	85%	79%	66%
2	Jody Stahlman Parts Unknown, VT	1559 ± 78	66%	44%	30%	10%
10	Lisa Casselman Ottawa, ON	1521 ± 74	76%	34%	20%	5%
4	Malinda Nelson Queensbury, NY	1490 ± 69	70%	46%	8%	3%
11	Cece Daigle Waitsfield, VT	1500 ± 294	65%	33%	14%	3%
3	Allison Havens Parts Unknown, VT	1504 ± 76	52%	29%	12%	3%
9	Jess Lovely Parts Unknown, VT	1494 ± 120	78%	11%	6%	3%
14	Angie Post Saint Albans City, VT	1500 ± 294	48%	27%	11%	2%
15	Sarah Kubera Burlington, VT	1500 ± 294	34%	17%	9%	2%
5	Tammy Charbonneau Burlington, VT	1453 ± 86	61%	28%	3%	<1%
16	Sasha Morrissette Parts Unknown, VT	1449 ± 143	6%	3%	1%	<1%
6	Allison Land Warren, VT	1442 ± 69	35%	11%	3%	<1%
12	Kristine Buck Burlington, VT	1415 ± 127	39%	13%	1%	<1%
7	Kim Musgrave Parts Unknown, Earth	1428 ± 76	24%	5%	1%	<1%
13	Diane Nadon Ferrisburgh, VT	1418 ± 122	30%	12%	<1%	<1%
8	Brenna Fisher Waitsfield, VT	1387 ± 196	22%	<1%	<1%	<1%

VIRGINIA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: VIRGINIA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Laura Fraley Richmond, VA	1616 ± 61	92%	62%	44%	29%
14	Annie Dunnington Parts Unknown, VA	1590 ± 90	64%	45%	28%	15%
2	Lauren Fortner Parts Unknown, VA	1586 ± 82	68%	45%	27%	14%
8	Rachel Alber Springfield, VA	1575 ± 73	77%	32%	19%	10%
12	Deb Kapke Parts Unknown, Earth	1563 ± 108	65%	39%	16%	8%
4	Katherine Dodge Richmond, VA	1549 ± 61	68%	35%	13%	6%
10	Ashley Talbott Woodbridge, VA	1541 ± 74	57%	24%	11%	4%
3	Caroline Creekman Parts Unknown, VA	1540 ± 69	36%	20%	9%	3%
6	Jessy Kennedy Richmond, VA	1530 ± 80	59%	22%	9%	3%
15	Tegwyn Rugg Parts Unknown, VA	1525 ± 76	32%	16%	7%	2%
7	Mackenzie Foglesong Richmond, VA	1518 ± 71	43%	15%	6%	2%
5	Susan Williams Parts Unknown, VA	1511 ± 71	35%	16%	4%	1%
11	Seneca Durfee Richmond, VA	1501 ± 73	41%	13%	4%	1%
13	Kate Hernandez Parts Unknown, Earth	1490 ± 82	32%	11%	2%	<1%
9	Jena Heddings Parts Unknown, Earth	1479 ± 73	23%	5%	1%	<1%
16	Heidi Soltis Parts Unknown, VA	1427 ± 92	8%	1%	<1%	<1%

WASHINGTON

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: WASHINGTON
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Hannah Hatch Parts Unknown, Earth	1686 ± 57	80%	64%	47%	33%
2	Ashley Weaver Renton, WA	1656 ± 51	79%	56%	39%	21%
13	MK Walker Seattle, WA	1635 ± 63	63%	42%	19%	11%
3	Sarah Hager Seattle, WA	1622 ± 86	68%	45%	22%	10%
10	Sarah Bay Parts Unknown, Earth	1599 ± 61	58%	23%	12%	5%
5	Erin Malysa Chicago, IL	1588 ± 53	56%	22%	7%	3%
4	Vanessa Ish Seattle, WA	1593 ± 69	37%	21%	7%	3%
6	Guadalupe Bryan Seattle, WA	1580 ± 53	59%	25%	9%	3%
9	Brooke Borcherding Parts Unknown, Earth	1586 ± 73	55%	15%	6%	3%
7	Danielle Wilcox Parts Unknown, WA	1570 ± 61	42%	13%	6%	2%
16	Kristin Vick Seattle, WA	1582 ± 59	20%	11%	5%	2%
8	Liberty Ruderman Seattle, WA	1572 ± 69	45%	11%	4%	2%
12	Jessica Barron Bremerton, WA	1569 ± 49	44%	15%	4%	1%
14	Amber Roy Seattle, WA	1560 ± 59	32%	16%	5%	1%
11	Alexa Philbeck Seattle, WA	1552 ± 90	41%	15%	4%	1%
15	Heather Loudon Seattle, WA	1548 ± 57	21%	8%	3%	<1%

WEST VIRGINIA

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: WEST VIRGINIA
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
6	Julia Metz Beckley, WV	1582 ± 114	89%	62%	49%	28%
1	Rhonda Wamsley New Albany, OH	1583 ± 59	96%	53%	43%	26%
8	Lindsey Pratt Beaver, WV	1585 ± 90	69%	36%	30%	19%
3	Virginia Hendricks Washington, PA	1527 ± 65	57%	22%	15%	6%
15	Lori Acciavatti Morgantown, WV	1500 ± 294	60%	38%	13%	5%
4	Erica Stewart Morgantown, WV	1484 ± 69	78%	45%	11%	4%
9	April Sauls Parts Unknown, Earth	1519 ± 131	31%	10%	7%	3%
14	Jennifer Musho Parts Unknown, WV	1500 ± 294	43%	14%	8%	3%
5	Sal Sulick Morgantown, WV	1473 ± 76	63%	34%	8%	2%
2	Beth Howell Morgantown, WV	1468 ± 63	40%	23%	6%	2%
7	Ashley Grabenstein Morgantown, WV	1461 ± 114	65%	28%	7%	2%
12	McKayla Flynn Morgantown, WV	1430 ± 102	37%	15%	2%	<1%
10	Hayley Schwab Morgantown, WV	1409 ± 71	35%	10%	2%	<1%
13	Lisa Arthur Hilliard, OH	1387 ± 82	22%	6%	<1%	<1%
11	Lisa Walker Morgantown, WV	1411 ± 143	11%	2%	<1%	<1%
16	Danielle Huhn Uniontown, PA	1348 ± 141	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%

WISCONSIN

2023 IFPA WNACS Predictions: WISCONSIN
Seed	Player	MP Rating	QUARTER- FINALS	Chances of making…		WIN FINALS
				SEMI- FINALS	FINALS
1	Kassidy Milanowski Appleton, WI	1751 ± 57	98%	93%	84%	74%
7	Lily Piazza Chicago, IL	1626 ± 47	63%	41%	26%	6%
4	Becky Meyer Algoma, WI	1601 ± 67	85%	55%	9%	5%
2	Rachel Ristow Sheboygan, WI	1596 ± 49	74%	33%	19%	4%
3	Dori Zielinski Milwaukee, WI	1594 ± 53	61%	38%	18%	3%
6	Tara Henjum Suamico, WI	1572 ± 53	80%	38%	16%	2%
10	Erin Hansen Minneapolis, MN	1586 ± 71	37%	20%	11%	2%
12	Nikie Oshefsky Green Bay, WI	1569 ± 73	69%	32%	4%	2%
14	Katie Belanger Madison, WI	1559 ± 80	39%	21%	8%	1%
8	Beth Trofka De Pere, WI	1527 ± 57	55%	3%	1%	<1%
15	Hailey Davis Parts Unknown, Earth	1514 ± 88	26%	6%	2%	<1%
9	Sara Bradley Madison, WI	1513 ± 61	45%	2%	<1%	<1%
5	Liz Caldwell Milwaukee, WI	1506 ± 76	31%	9%	<1%	<1%
16	Michelle Anderson De Pere, WI	1487 ± 80	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%
11	Rita Stevenson Powell, OH	1461 ± 76	20%	3%	<1%	<1%
13	Donelle Ostrowski Sun Prairie, WI	1461 ± 135	15%	4%	<1%	<1%

About

The above predictions are created by leveraging the excellent ratings provided by matchplay.events, which are an implementation of the glicko rating system. For those unfamiliar, ratings are a way of measuring the skill of a player. The ratings are estimated by making predictions about the outcome of each match, observing the outcome, then updating the ratings accordingly.

Importantly, the ratings intrinsically provide the ability to make predictions about a match. For example, if a player with a rating of 1904 plays another player with a rating of 1660, player 1 has an 80.2% chance of winning that game. (\(\frac{1}{1+10^{-(1904-1660)}}=.802\)). Once we know the likelihood of an outcome we can simulate a best-of-7 series by essentially flipping a weighted coin seven times, where the coin is weighted by the probability we previously determined. The player with 4 or more wins, will take the series and advance to the next round. Then we play out the whole bracket in this manner until a winner is crowned. Of course, this only gives us one possible outcome. So we repeat the whole process 10,000 times and summarize the results. Thus the tables above are essentially the percent of times in the 10,000 simulations that a player achieved that level of performance.

Naturally the predictions are only as good as the ratings themselves. While ratings in theory should eventually converge on a players “true” rating, in practice this is rarely true. Players who don’t play in tournaments run by matchplay won’t have as much data. Stronger players that play in a lot of local tournaments will tend to have ratings that are higher than they probably truly are. As a result, you may seem some players have higher/lower odds than seems likely.

Hope you enjoy, and please let me know if anything seems wrong.

This page has no affiliation with the IFPA or matchplay.events. It was made entirely in the spirit of learning and fun.